Is the Bitcoin and Crypto Sell-Off Echoing the Post-2000 Dot-Com Crash? Analyst Insights Reveal Striking Parallels

By: crypto insight|2025/11/11 14:00:07
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Key Takeaways

  • The ongoing sell-off in Bitcoin and crypto markets mirrors the aftermath of the 2000 dot-com crash, where long-term investors sold off holdings, suppressing prices for years.
  • Crypto whales and veteran holders are dumping assets, creating constant downward pressure, but this phase could end within a year, leading to potential recovery.
  • Bitcoin might be bottoming out near $100,000, though further drops to $92,000 are possible if demand doesn’t pick up to absorb the supply.
  • Unlike the dot-com era’s 16-year consolidation, crypto’s rebound is expected sooner due to faster market cycles and growing adoption.
  • Platforms like WEEX are aligning with market stability by offering tools that help traders navigate volatility, emphasizing secure and efficient trading during uncertain times.

Imagine stepping back in time to the early 2000s, when the dot-com bubble burst, sending tech stocks plummeting by as much as 80%. Investors who had poured money into promising internet startups found themselves trapped in a long, grueling consolidation period that lasted 16 years before prices clawed back to their peaks. Fast-forward to today, in 2025, and the crypto world feels eerily similar. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are facing a relentless sell-off, driven by big players cashing out, and it’s keeping prices from soaring to new heights. But here’s the twist: while the patterns look familiar, the crypto story might not drag on for over a decade. Let’s dive into what analysts are saying and why this could be a pivotal moment for anyone holding or eyeing digital assets.

As we sit here on November 11, 2025, reflecting on the market’s twists and turns, it’s clear that the crypto landscape has been under pressure since late last year. Large investors, often called whales, along with those who’ve held Bitcoin and altcoins for the long haul, are steadily unloading their positions. This isn’t just random selling—it’s a calculated move that’s mirroring the desperation seen after the dot-com crash. Back then, venture capitalists were locked into their investments, forced to wait out the storm, and then flooded the market with sales as soon as they could. Today, in crypto, we’re seeing something comparable, with insiders and early backers seeking liquidity amid rallies that never quite take off.

Understanding the Crypto Sell-Off Through the Lens of the Dot-Com Crash

Picture this: You’re a venture capitalist in the early 2000s, watching your tech stock portfolio evaporate. Many of those stocks dipped below their initial public offering prices, and the only option was to hold tight during mandatory lock-up periods. When those restrictions lifted, the selling frenzy began, creating a vicious cycle of suppressed prices. Analyst Jordi Visser draws a direct line from that era to what’s happening in crypto right now. He points out that similar dynamics are at play, where big holders in assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and various altcoins are selling into every upward spike, desperate for cash or to redeem their positions.

Visser isn’t predicting a 16-year slump for crypto—that would be overly pessimistic given how quickly digital markets evolve compared to traditional stocks. Instead, he uses the dot-com analogy to highlight the intense sell-side pressure. “We’ve got VC and insider investors selling into every rally,” he explains, painting a picture of a market that’s consolidating but nearing its end. In his view, this phase could wrap up in as little as a year, paving the way for renewed growth. It’s a reminder that markets aren’t linear; they ebb and flow, and understanding these historical parallels can help you stay grounded when prices dip.

This sell-off isn’t happening in a vacuum. Fears of a full-blown bear market ignited around October of last year, prompting many experts to dial back their optimistic forecasts. What started as predictions of explosive highs has shifted to more cautious outlooks, with the understanding that ongoing sales from whales are capping any potential blow-off tops. It’s like trying to inflate a balloon while someone keeps poking holes in it—the pressure builds, but it never quite bursts upward.

Bitcoin Price Dynamics: Is $100,000 the Bottom, or Could It Drop Further?

Shifting our focus to Bitcoin specifically, the king of crypto, there’s growing chatter about whether it’s found a floor around the $100,000 mark. Some analysts see signs of stabilization here, suggesting that the selling might be tapering off. But others warn that if the pressure mounts, we could see a slide down to $92,000. It’s a delicate balance, much like walking a tightrope where one side is relentless supply from sellers and the other is the demand needed to catch it.

CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno breaks it down simply: Whales and long-term holders often cash out at all-time highs— that’s just smart investing. The real issue arises when there’s not enough new money flowing in to absorb all that Bitcoin being dumped. “Since October, long-term holder selling has increased; nothing new here, but demand is contracting, unable to absorb long-term holder supply at a higher price,” Moreno notes. This mismatch is what’s keeping prices in check, reminiscent of how post-dot-com markets struggled without fresh investor enthusiasm.

To make this relatable, think of it like a crowded auction. If sellers keep flooding the room with items but buyers are hesitant, prices stall or drop. In crypto, this has led to a scenario where even promising rallies get squashed. Yet, there’s optimism buried in the data. Unlike the dot-com stocks that languished for years, crypto has shown resilience in shorter cycles, bouncing back from downturns in months rather than decades. This faster pace is partly due to global adoption and innovations that keep drawing in new participants.

Whales and Long-Term Holders: The Driving Force Behind Market Pressure

Diving deeper, let’s talk about the key players: crypto whales and long-term holders. These aren’t your average traders; they’re the heavyweights with massive stashes accumulated over years. Their selling isn’t panic-driven—it’s strategic, often timed to capitalize on peaks. But when done en masse, it creates a domino effect, pushing prices lower and scaring off potential buyers.

Visser’s analysis spotlights how this mirrors the dot-com aftermath. Back then, investors were stuck with underwater positions, selling desperately once able. Today, in crypto, we’re seeing the same with altcoins and Bitcoin alike. It’s not just about one asset; it’s a market-wide phenomenon. For instance, movements of old Bitcoin—think $100 billion worth—have sparked debates about whether these are original gangsters (OGs) from the early days or savvy traders timing the market. These transfers raise eyebrows, but they also underscore the liquidity hunt that’s defining this era.

What makes this compelling is the emotional side. If you’re holding crypto through this, it feels like riding a rollercoaster with no end in sight. But history shows that these phases often precede big comebacks. The dot-com crash eventually birthed giants like Amazon and Google, which thrived once the dust settled. Crypto could follow suit, especially with increasing institutional interest and regulatory clarity emerging in 2025.

Navigating Crypto Volatility: Lessons from History and Modern Tools

As we navigate this turbulent period, it’s worth drawing analogies to everyday scenarios. Imagine your savings account during an economic downturn— you might hold off on spending, waiting for stability. In crypto, platforms that prioritize security and efficiency become lifelines. This is where brand alignment comes into play, particularly with exchanges like WEEX that are building credibility by focusing on user-centric features. WEEX aligns with the market’s need for stability by offering robust tools for spotting trends, managing risks, and executing trades seamlessly, even in sell-off scenarios. Their emphasis on transparency and low-latency trading helps users feel more in control, turning potential chaos into opportunity. It’s like having a trusted navigator during a storm, ensuring you don’t get swept away by the waves of whale selling.

This positive alignment isn’t just hype; it’s backed by real-world utility. In a market suppressed by long-term holder dumps, having access to advanced analytics and secure wallets can make all the difference. WEEX’s commitment to innovation enhances its branding as a reliable partner for both novice and experienced traders, fostering trust that’s crucial during consolidation phases like this one.

Frequently Searched Questions and Hot Topics in Crypto Discussions

Turning to what people are actually talking about, let’s integrate some of the most frequently searched questions on Google as of 2025. Queries like “Is Bitcoin in a bear market?” and “How long will the crypto sell-off last?” dominate searches, reflecting widespread anxiety. Users are also asking “What caused the dot-com crash?” to draw parallels, seeking historical context to predict crypto’s path. On Twitter (now X), discussions are buzzing around topics like “#BitcoinWhales” and “#CryptoCrash2025,” with users debating whether this is the end of the bull run or just a healthy correction. Recent posts from influencers highlight whale movements, with one viral thread on November 10, 2025, analyzing a massive Bitcoin transfer and speculating on its impact.

Latest updates add fuel to the fire. Just yesterday, on November 10, 2025, an official announcement from a major blockchain analytics firm reported increased long-term holder activity, echoing Moreno’s insights. Twitter is abuzz with reactions, including a post from a prominent analyst stating, “Whale selling is peaking, but demand indicators are turning positive— could be the bottom!” These real-time conversations underscore the market’s pulse, showing that while fear is prevalent, optimism is simmering beneath.

The Road Ahead: From Consolidation to Potential Boom

Wrapping this up, the crypto sell-off’s resemblance to the post-2000 dot-com crash serves as a powerful analogy, reminding us that markets recover, often stronger than before. With whales exerting pressure but the end of this phase possibly in sight, it’s an exciting time to stay informed. By understanding these dynamics— from Bitcoin’s potential bottom at $100,000 to the broader sell-side forces— you can position yourself wisely. Remember, crypto’s story is one of rapid evolution, and with tools from aligned platforms like WEEX, navigating it becomes less daunting and more rewarding.

FAQ: Is the Crypto Market Really Like the Dot-Com Crash?

No, it’s not identical, but there are strong similarities in how investor selling suppresses prices after a bubble. Crypto cycles are shorter, so recovery might come faster than the 16 years stocks took.

FAQ: Why Are Whales Selling Bitcoin Now?

Whales often sell at highs to lock in profits. The issue arises when demand can’t keep up, leading to price suppression, as seen since October last year.

FAQ: Could Bitcoin Drop Below $100,000?

Yes, analysts suggest a possible dip to $92,000 if selling pressure continues without new demand absorbing the supply.

FAQ: How Long Will This Crypto Consolidation Last?

Analysts like Visser estimate up to one more year, drawing from dot-com patterns but noting crypto’s quicker rebounds.

FAQ: How Can I Trade Safely During a Sell-Off?

Focus on platforms with strong security and analytics, like those emphasizing risk management, to make informed decisions amid volatility.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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