Inflection Point for DAT? These 12 Treasury Companies Represented by mNav Have Fallen Below 1

By: blockbeats|2025/11/13 12:30:00
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Original Title: "Is this the Turning Point for DAT? These 12 Treasury Companies Representing mNav Have Fallen Below 1"
Original Author: CryptoLeo, Odaily Planet Daily

2025 was a vibrant year for DAT, with many companies joining in since the implementation of the encrypted treasury strategy by Strategy. Currently, there are over 200 DAT companies in the market, with treasuries covering dozens of different cryptocurrencies. In July alone, DAT's funding amount reached $6.2 billion. We have indeed seen many enterprises transform into encrypted treasury companies in the early stages of transformation when it was difficult to profit, driving up stock prices/market value, all proclaiming that DAT is the future. But is DAT a trap or the future?

With the recent decline in BTC/ETH, falling even below the entry cost of many treasury companies, it means that the BTC/ETH purchased by enterprises has turned into a loss, causing public concern and leading to a decrease in their market value.

Inflection Point for DAT? These 12 Treasury Companies Represented by mNav Have Fallen Below 1

Yesterday, I saw a column of "startling" data showing that the mNav of many DAT companies has fallen below 1 (except for some mining companies, exchanges, and early investors; the mNav of most encrypted treasury companies is below 1), including Strategy, the "treasury concept founding giant."

mNav (Market Value to Cryptocurrency Holdings Value ratio) is a key data point for encrypted treasury companies that everyone is concerned about. Odaily Planet Daily will list a batch of BTC/ETH treasury companies whose mNav has fallen below 1.

BTC Treasury Companies with mNav Below 1

Strategy

Data: Strategy currently holds 641,692 BTC, with holdings valued at $65.04 billion, a company market value of $63.67 billion, and an mNav currently reported at 0.979.

Recent Trends: There has been no halt in accumulation, transitioning from large-scale BTC purchases to small-scale.

Metaplanet

Data: Metaplanet currently holds 30,823 BTC, with holdings valued at $3.124 billion, a company market value of $3.024 billion, and an mNav currently reported at 0.968.

Recent Trends: The "Reasonable Rug Pull," leveraging held Bitcoin for $1 billion in financing, with the funds used for additional BTC purchases and stock buybacks.

The Smarter Web Company

Data: The Smarter Web Company currently holds 2664 BTC, with a holding value of $270 million, a company market cap of $2.21 billion, and mNav currently at 0.783.

Recent Trends: Engaging in a $360,000 financing round, or may continue to accumulate.

Semler Scientific

Data: Semler Scientific currently holds 5048 BTC, with a holding value of $512 million, a company market cap of $3.74 billion, and mNav currently at 0.73.

Recent Trends: Stock merger, Semler Scientific and Strive announce an all-stock merger deal, which will result in holding over 10,900 BTC.

Empery Digital

Data: Empery Digital currently holds 4081 BTC, with a holding value of $414 million, a company market cap of $2.46 billion, and mNav currently at 0.595.

Recent Trends: Focusing on increasing mNav, Q3 financial report indicates approximately $80 million worth of stock buybacks executed.

Sequans Communications

Data: Sequans Communications currently holds 2264 BTC, with a holding value of $229 million, a company market cap of $1.66 billion, and mNav currently at 0.73.

Recent Trends: Debt reduction, maintaining a long-term strategy of increasing BTC holdings. Sold 970 BTC to redeem about 50% of convertible bonds, reducing the company's total debt from $189 million to $95 million.

mNav Falls Below 1 for ETH Treasury

Bitmine Immersion Tech

Data: Currently holding 3.529 million ETH, with a holding value of $12.07 billion, company market cap of $11.43 billion, and mNav at 0.946.

Recent Moves: Unlimited ammo, continues to acquire an additional 24,007 ETH.

SharpLink Gaming

Data: Currently holding 859,400 ETH, with a holding value of $2.94 billion, company market cap of $2.28 billion, and mNav at 0.84.

Recent Moves: Acquired an additional 19,271 ETH.

The Ether Machine

Data: Currently holding 496,700 ETH, with a holding value of $1.7 billion, company market cap of $171 million, and mNav at 0.08 (never reaching 1).

Recent Moves: Plans to go public through a merger with Dynamix.

BTCS Inc.

Data: Currently holding 70,000 ETH, with a holding value of $239 million, company market cap of $143 million, and mNav at 0.6.

Recent Moves: Distributing dividends and bonus shares to shareholders in ETH.

FG Nexus

Data: Currently holding 50,000 ETH, with a holding value of $173.5 million, company market cap of $142 million, and mNav at 0.82.

Recent Moves: Expanding European user base, listed on the German exchange with the ticker symbol "LU51".

ETHZilla

Data: Currently holding 93,790 ETH, with a holding value of $320 million, a market cap of $2.773 billion, and a mNav of 0.86.

Recent Trends: Attempting to raise mNav, sold $40 million worth of ETH to buy back company stock (but was not successful).

A Race to the Bottom Between Coin Price and Treasury Company Stock Price: Will Selling Coins to Sustain Operations Work?

DAT fundamentally revolves around financing and buying crypto in a compounding loop, achieving high valuations to continue issuing bonds/stocks to buy more crypto. The premise of this metric is "profit holding," but if the price of the purchased crypto falls, leading to a stock price drop, it becomes a race to the bottom between the coin price and circulating stock price. Debt repayment and financing obstruction are the two main "pain points" that DAT companies face. In the future, it may be unavoidable to sell some crypto to repay part of the debt, and treasury selling crypto to sustain operations is also a major concern for everyone.

For some financially strong and sufficiently large companies, this may not be a short-term concern. For example, Strategy. Saylor, as a diamond hand, has repeatedly emphasized never selling BTC. Strategy still has strong financing capabilities and prudent capital structure management in the capital markets. In the short term, Strategy continues to accumulate small amounts of BTC. However, in the medium to long term, if BTC enters a bear market or the debt is nearing maturity, coupled with Standard & Poor's previous rating of B- for Strategy (in Standard & Poor's view, Strategy is a high default risk "junk"), if the rating has a long-term impact, Strategy's stock price and financing capabilities will also be affected, and the probability of selling Bitcoin to repay debt will increase. Although the current BTC bull-bear cycle is not a 4-year rotation, the scenario where the BTC bear market price falls below $90,000 can be temporarily dismissed.

Previously, crypto analyst Willy Woo also stated: "Michael Saylor's Strategy (MSTR) will not need to sell part of its Bitcoin reserves to repay debt in the next major cryptocurrency market downturn. Strategy's debt is primarily in the form of convertible preferred notes. Strategy can choose to repay the maturing convertible debt in cash, common stock, or a combination of both. Strategy has about $1.01 billion in debt maturing on September 15, 2027. To avoid the need to sell Bitcoin to repay the debt, Strategy's stock price must exceed $183.19. He added that this price is roughly equivalent to a Bitcoin price of around $91,502, assuming an mNav of 1."

Saylor may not need to worry about a Strategy BTC sell-off issue for the time being, but for many companies with low liquidity, high debt, and weak financing capabilities, the situation is not as favorable. There have been cases of selling Bitcoin to repay debts by more than one company. The previously mentioned U.S.-listed semiconductor company, Sequans Communications, also sold 970 Bitcoins in early November to redeem around 50% of its convertible bonds, reducing the company's total debt from $189 million to $95 million, with the debt-to-equity ratio dropping from 55% to 39%.

Furthermore, the Ethereum treasury company ETHZilla also sold $40 million worth of ETH for a stock buyback at the end of October this year, aiming to bring its mNAV back above 1. However, the speed of its stock price decline has even exceeded that of the token (ETH) decline. As mentioned earlier, selling tokens affects its stock price. Currently, ETHZilla has a market capitalization of $2.666 billion, ETH holdings worth $3.222 billion, mNav at 0.82, and has not returned to 1.

Reality shows that this "big buyer" in TradFi has very little demand for these DAT stocks. Even if there is a cryptocurrency rebound at the end of the year, the performance of DAT stocks may not rise without the support of TradFi. The mNav returning above 1 seems distant. The longer a DAT company trades continuously under a low mNav, the more desperate its shareholders become, ultimately leading to forced cryptocurrency sales or facing discounted acquisitions. They control a significant supply of BTC and ETH, and each sale they make could exert significant downward pressure on mainstream and altcoins.

Currently, there are hardly any DAT companies successfully replicating Strategy. The eventual outcome for DAT may be acquisition by Saylor or Tom Lee, leading to further centralization of cryptocurrency chips. Whether through cryptocurrency sell-offs or acquisitions, it is not beneficial for us in the market.

At the time of writing, Tom Lee retweeted a post: Top institutions have all bought BitMine stocks, including Ark, BlackRock, Vanguard Group, JP Morgan, and others. This to some extent gives some comfort to those of us concerned about DAT. If DAT companies can hold on for a while until their stocks slowly return to the eyes of TradFi (portfolio), the future of DAT remains promising. It's hard to speculate how long the Wall Street giants will accept DAT stocks in their "conservative eyes." We can only hope that the "commander-in-chief" Trump can announce some favorable measures for encrypted DAT.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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