According to Jinshi News, Michael Pearce, the Chief Economist for the U.S. at Oxford Economics, stated that the market is gradually ruling out the possibility of interest rate cuts in the short term, but this may be a misjudgment. He pointed out that although economic growth is stronger, it has not significantly tightened labor market conditions, which explains why most officials still believe there is a path for interest rate cuts this year. Pearce also mentioned that the market believes this situation leans more towards mild disinflation rather than exacerbating inflation in terms of long-term inflation impact.
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