- Buy Crypto
- Markets
- Futures
- Spot
- Copy Trade
Earn- More
Economist: Bank of Japan Most Likely to Hike Rates in July, Yen Depreciation May Force Early Action
BlockBeats News, January 16th, Bloomberg's latest survey of 52 economists shows that exchange rate dynamics are becoming a key variable influencing the Bank of Japan's policy decisions. Against the backdrop of a continued weakening yen and upward inflationary pressure, the market is warming up to the expectation of the Bank of Japan's early rate hike.
The survey shows that all respondents unanimously expect the Bank of Japan to keep its benchmark interest rate at 0.75% unchanged at the policy meeting on January 22-23. As for the timing of the next rate hike, July has become the most mainstream expectation, with 48% economist support; the proportions believing in a rate hike in April or June are both 17%.
Economists generally expect that the Bank of Japan's future rate hike pace will be maintained at once every six months. However, if the yen continues to depreciate and pushes up inflation expectations, the central bank may be forced to act more quickly. Junju Iwahashi, an economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, pointed out that if the dollar falls below the 160 level against the yen, the rate hike timetable could be significantly accelerated.
Currently, the yen exchange rate is hovering around 158.5, close to the multi-decade low set in July 2024. In the survey, three-quarters of respondents believe that the risk of yen weakness forcing the Bank of Japan to hike rates early is rising.
In terms of the rate path, economists' median forecast for the "terminal rate" of this rate hike cycle has been raised to 1.5%, the highest level since this survey began tracking in late 2023. Additionally, most respondents believe that the key focus of the meeting next week will be the Bank of Japan's updated quarterly economic outlook report, which for the first time incorporates the economic stimulus plan introduced by the administration of Prime Minister Hidetoshi Akishichi, potentially signaling the pace of future rate hikes.
You may also like
Trump Says He Was Unaware of $500M UAE Investment in World Liberty Financial
Key Takeaways: US President Donald Trump denied knowledge of a $500 million UAE investment in World Liberty Financial.…
Crypto Industry and Banks at a Stalemate Over Stablecoin Yield Deal
Key Takeaways The White House has urged a compromise on stablecoin yields to progress Senate crypto legislation. Crypto…
Why Vitalik Buterin Sold Over 700 Ethereum (ETH) Despite Market Recovery
Key Takeaways Vitalik Buterin sold over 700 Ethereum not for market reasons but to finance long-term projects. The…
Binance Withdrawals Restored Following Temporary Disruption
Key Takeaways Binance faced technical difficulties affecting withdrawals, but services were quickly restored within 20 minutes. The disruption…
Asian Markets Stabilize as Bitcoin Trades Around $78K
Key Takeaways Bitcoin steadies at approximately $78,000 as Asian markets recover from recent volatility. Regional equities, including Japan’s…
Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Warsh Shock & The Stablecoin Summit—Is the Bull Case Dead?
Key Takeaways Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has caused a drop in liquidity for riskier assets,…
White House Continues to Negotiate Over Crypto Market Structure Bill
Key Takeaways The White House is pushing for a compromise on the contentious issue of stablecoin yields in…
Billionaire Michael Saylor’s Strategy Acquires $75M More Bitcoin – Is This a Bullish Sign?
Key Takeaways Michael Saylor’s Strategy has expanded its Bitcoin holdings by purchasing an additional 855 BTC for $75.3…
Polymarket Bettors Assign Over 70% Probability of Bitcoin Dropping Below $65K — Are They Correct?
Key Takeaways Polymarket users predict Bitcoin has a 71% chance of falling below $65,000 in 2026, reflecting market…
CFTC Regulatory Shift Could Unlock New Growth for Coinbase Prediction Markets
Key Takeaways Newly appointed CFTC Chair, Michael Selig, aims for a unified federal oversight approach for crypto-linked prediction…
We Hacked Perplexity AI to Predict the Price of XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum By the End of 2026
Key Takeaways Perplexity AI predicts XRP may soar to $8 by 2026, fueled by legal victories and supportive…
Current Crypto Price Predictions: An In-Depth Analysis of XRP, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu
Key Takeaways XRP, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu are experiencing significant price declines amid geopolitical uncertainties and general market…
Pepe Coin Forecast: Price Appears Dismal, Yet Savvy Investors Rally Behind the Scenes
Key Takeaways Pepe Coin has experienced significant price drops, yet indicators suggest it may soon bottom out, with…
BitMine Reports 4.285M ETH Holdings, Expands Staked Position With Massive Reward Outlook
Key Takeaways BitMine Immersion Technologies has reported significant crypto holdings valued at $10.7 billion. The company’s Ethereum holdings…
Crypto Exchanges’ Stock Plunge 60% as Trading Volumes Dwindle – Is the Decline Ending or Just Beginning?
Key Takeaways Trading volumes on major crypto exchanges have drastically fallen, with a nearly 90% drop from October…
Best Crypto to Acquire Now February 2 – XRP, Solana, Ethereum
Key Takeaways Recent market turmoil saw Bitcoin plunge dramatically, affecting all major cryptocurrencies. XRP, Solana, and Ethereum are…
Ethereum Price Prediction: Top ETH Bulls Face $7.6 Billion in Paper Losses as Price Drops Below $2,400
Key Takeaways Ethereum has faced a downturn, dropping 19% below $2,400, resulting in significant paper losses for major…
Shiba Inu Price Prediction: SHIB Just Crashed to a 3-Year Low – Is SHIB Heading Towards Zero?
Key Takeaways Shiba Inu has recently hit a significant low, experiencing a 15% drop that places it at…
Trump Says He Was Unaware of $500M UAE Investment in World Liberty Financial
Key Takeaways: US President Donald Trump denied knowledge of a $500 million UAE investment in World Liberty Financial.…
Crypto Industry and Banks at a Stalemate Over Stablecoin Yield Deal
Key Takeaways The White House has urged a compromise on stablecoin yields to progress Senate crypto legislation. Crypto…
Why Vitalik Buterin Sold Over 700 Ethereum (ETH) Despite Market Recovery
Key Takeaways Vitalik Buterin sold over 700 Ethereum not for market reasons but to finance long-term projects. The…
Binance Withdrawals Restored Following Temporary Disruption
Key Takeaways Binance faced technical difficulties affecting withdrawals, but services were quickly restored within 20 minutes. The disruption…
Asian Markets Stabilize as Bitcoin Trades Around $78K
Key Takeaways Bitcoin steadies at approximately $78,000 as Asian markets recover from recent volatility. Regional equities, including Japan’s…
Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Warsh Shock & The Stablecoin Summit—Is the Bull Case Dead?
Key Takeaways Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has caused a drop in liquidity for riskier assets,…
App